On One Hand

January 27, 2007

Second 2008 Presidential Election Poll

Filed under: Uncategorized — ononehand @ 3:06 pm
Tags: , ,

It’s time for the next presidential poll!

While Hillary is the leading Democratic candidate among all Democrats as a whole, it seems that Obama is the winning candidate among college students. I’ve supported John Edwards so far but at this point I find myself more willing to go for others in the field.

Now that Richardson is in the race, we now have three great options in the Democratic field that would be all-time firsts in American history. The Democrats now have the first serious female candidate ever, the first serious African-American candidate ever, and the first serious Hispanic candidate ever, all in the same pool. I really like John Edwards as a well-spoken and highly electable candidate. But I’m having a hard time choosing the white guy over a chance to get some diversity in the office for the first time ever. Most people are saying the next president will most likely be a Democrat, so this could be the party’s chance to make history.

Plus, Americans have an affinity for “new things.” Maybe some swing voters would be more likely to support a woman because of the novelty of it. Maybe not – the election could show the exact opposite. That’s a risk Democrats must calculate when choosing a candidate.



  1. I think my dream team right now is something along the lines of Webb-Gore…too bad neither one is throwing their hat into the ring.

    Comment by erinya — January 27, 2007 @ 10:50 pm | Reply

    • Webb might be a future candidate for president, but remember that he’s only been in the Senate for 1 month now. Perhaps he’ll be a condender in 2016. He’s also thought to be quite a Conservative Democrat (was a Republican until just a few years ago) so I doubt he would pick Gore as a running-mate, though who knows where his allegiances and voting record will track as time goes on.

      Comment by ononehand — January 28, 2007 @ 3:40 am | Reply

  2. Aww you made Libertarian an option. 🙂 Hugs

    Comment by jdhenchman — January 27, 2007 @ 11:05 pm | Reply

  3. To be honest, at this point I’m torn. I really want Gore to run, and would definitely support him. But until that happens, I’m alternating between Edwards/Obama/Richardson.

    Comment by lancerboi — January 27, 2007 @ 11:10 pm | Reply

    • Hmm… I think Gore would go down in a ball of flames if he ran, personally. People absolutely love him now, because he’s not running. If he did run, Democrats wouldn’t choose him.

      Comment by ononehand — January 28, 2007 @ 3:27 am | Reply

  4. I didn’t really feel like the questions were all that good in acutally gauging my feelings, so I figured I’d explain my answers.

    For the general election, it’s 95% likely that i will vote for the democratic candidate, despite their gender/race. However, I wouldn’t consider that vote neutral to race or gender, just the fact that’s the person who got nominated. I would not ever vote for a republican, and unless the dem nominated is one of the blue dog dems, i will vote for them.

    I am actually currently having an inner-conflict surrounding Hillary Clinton. Being a woman, I really have the urge to vote for her because she’s a woman. However, I think she’s moved to the center, and won’t be best for advancing progressive values, so I will likely vote for Obama in the primary. I really like Edwards and Obama equally, but I’m sick of all these white men. I think it’s important we bring diversity to the president’s office, but in some ways it’s only symbolic, and the person can’t just be a token, but rather someone who is going to advance the interests of underrepresented people.

    Also, I’m definitely a democratic socialist, which i don’t know if that was what you meant by socialist on your scale.

    And…when I vote, I identify as a mutlt-issue progressive when it comes to issues, but when it comes to party politics, I tend to vote strategically rather than progressively.

    Comment by pinklaura — January 28, 2007 @ 5:52 am | Reply

    • If you vote strategically rather than progressively when it comes to party politics, then wouldn’t you support Hillary Clinton for moving to the center, since this is strategic, as in, she’s more likely to win when she appears moderate? Also, do you think that she has to move into the center in order to win an election, and she might be doing it for that reason?

      Even if Hillary is a center candidate at heart, I think a center/left president would help advance the country more in a liberal direction than a far-left president can. Why? Because, first, with Bush we see how leading from a far-left or far-right position causes the public to turn against you, and, as happened in 2006, the country will elect an opposition Congress to stop your agenda in its tracks. Next, Bush shows how a polarized nation can’t move forward on any issue, and pushes people into reactionary stances where they’ll dig in their heels. Think about how many people hate him. I firmly beleive that this country and its laws will become more progressive when the culture drifts that way slowly, not when a leaders legislate that way. And the way to help the country drift faster is to show that progressive values celebrate balance, diversity, compromise, unity, and scientific thinking.

      The public is drifting to the left, this seems inevitable when you look at the steady increase in popularity of ideas like gay marriage, interracial marriage, full racial integration, and opposition to war. (During Vietnam, tens of thousands of American soldiers died before it was considered a disaster. In Iraq it took about ten percent as many deaths. Maybe the next unnecessary war will only take one or two hundred, or maybe none at all.) Then think about universal healthcare, which, for the first time ever, seems to be popularly supported. You’ve just got to keep the leadership moving slowly with the culture, and of course make sure the Democrats get credit for the milestones, like electing the first woman or person of color.

      Comment by ononehand — January 28, 2007 @ 6:14 am | Reply

      • if i wasn’t voting strategically, i would vote for an independent, or dennis kucinich, but i want to vote for someone who is center enough to win. i woulc consider edwards, clinton, and obama different parts of the center.

        also, pregressive policy is extremely popular, so i don’t think moving to the center is any way to win. a good example is the fact that bush won two elections in a row by being a radical, and kerry and gore moved to the center and didn’t stand for anything. moving to the center shows voters you have no backbone. obama and edwards have backbones, i don’t feel that clinton does.

        most people believe in equal opportunity and access, which is what progressive policy increases or maintains. people like social security, universal health care, clean air, equal pay, etc. these are all progressive things that democrats have no need to run from. that’s why i don’t think it’s strategic to pick someone in the center…it doesn’t work and there’s no reason to.

        Comment by pinklaura — January 28, 2007 @ 7:51 am

  5. For those who don’t know who I’m talking about as VP candidates, Spitzer is Eliot Spitzer, the governor of New York, and Sebelius is Kathleen Sebelius, the governor of Kansas. Both are dynamic figures who have greatly helped to advance Democratic/liberal causes in their states. Spitzer is more outspokenly pro-GLBT-equality, but then again, he’s from NY where it doesn’t affect him like it would for Sebelius in KS.

    Comment by larrysphatpage — February 8, 2007 @ 8:13 am | Reply

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