On One Hand

June 23, 2007

Matchups

Filed under: Uncategorized — ononehand @ 2:01 pm
Tags: , ,

Many Democrats are nervous about Hillary Clinton’s chance at winning a general election. But recent polls seem to show that Clinton is the most competitive Democrat in the race.

The most likely GOP candidate for 2008 is Mitt Romney, whose popularity is growing steadily among Republicans while other Republican candidates see their popularity lurch up and down. SurveyUSA’s polls show Hillary Clinton beating Mitt Romney in GOP strongholds like Alabama and Texas in hypothetical match-ups that have former New York governor Michael Bloomberg entering the race as an Independent. Obama also scored well against Romney, but didn’t have the high margins Clinton did and even lost to Giulianni in the Democratic ground-zero states of Massachusetts, California and New York.

This means that the Red State, Blue State, Swing State phoenomenon could be obliterated in 2008. We might see the Republican candidate (Giulianni) winning socially liberal voters in the Northeast and West, while the Democratic candidate takes the South, even Texas. What this really represents is a nationwide distaste for Conservatism as we know it, leading to an apparent Democratic landslide – but Rudy Giulianni is liberal enough that socially-liberal, traditional Democratic states swing towards him.

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2 Comments »

  1. It’s all fun to speculate at this point but that’s exactly what it is: speculation. If one could accurately predict these things, then Howard Dean would be in the White House right now.

    Comment by randomcha — June 23, 2007 @ 10:35 pm | Reply

  2. Oh man. I hope you’re right, because it sure looks like she’ll be our nominee.

    Comment by erinya — June 23, 2007 @ 11:18 pm | Reply


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